Greetings Token Metrics Community,
We recently held our Premium Webinar on August 23, and it was a session packed with insightful analysis, market evaluations, and strategic advice on navigating the complex world of crypto investments.
Here’s a summary of the key takeaways from the webinar:
Market Valuations and Bullish Projections
During the session, we dove deep into potential market valuations for several promising projects, including Nillion, Peaq, Andrena, Karat, and Parcl. We expressed a generally bullish outlook, estimating market caps ranging from billions to tens of billions in fully diluted valuation (FDV). Notably, we have a preference for Koii Network and Natix, and are making moves to establish a for-profit DAO in the Marshall Islands.
Investing vs. Trading
We distinguished between investing and trading, emphasizing different time horizons and tax implications for short-term versus long-term holdings in the crypto market. Our analysis covered market performance from May 2020 to Q1 2021, giving insights into historical trends and future possibilities.
Tokenomics and Project Potential
Understanding tokenomics and inflation schedules is crucial for evaluating any project’s potential. We stressed the importance of inflation rates and token distribution in our assessments. We also shared our thoughts on older coins like Ada, Dot, Link, Matic, Algo, and Atom, discussing what it might take for these projects to reach their previous all-time high prices again.
Project Insights and Skepticism
Aerodrome’s potential market cap was compared to Uniswap, and we expressed some caution regarding the investment in testnet tokens like Crest. We also covered the rebranding of Matic to Pol Token, along with its anticipated impact on value.
Project Tech Scores and Market Tools
Our method for generating tech scores includes thorough code reviews by blockchain engineers and programmers. The potential valuation rise for projects with airdrop and parallel EVM technology, such as Phantom, was also discussed.
Trading Strategies and Capital Allocation
We highlighted the development of a trading bot, currently in testing and optimization phases. To maximize returns, we suggested freeing up capital by exiting underperforming projects and reinvesting profits from successful ones. A strategy was also shared for navigating parabolic cycles by selling 75% of positions and staking the remaining through bear markets.
Hidden Gems and Quality Investments
For early-stage risky projects, we emphasized the importance of hidden gems scoring 60% or higher in fundamental analysis. We discussed waiting for quality projects to launch and the potential upside in non-low bloat, non-VC scam projects like Injective, Iotex, Space Mesh, and Akash Network.
Market Conditions and Token Liquidity
The increasing number of tokens in the market is affecting liquidity, potentially limiting significant pumps for new tokens. Timing plays a critical role in launching these quality projects, influenced heavily by current market conditions.
Blue Chip Altcoins and Investment Opportunities
We provided a list of potential blue chip altcoins for 2-5x returns, including TON, Chainlink, and Kaspa. While we discussed the possibility of a 100x return on Honey, we maintained a degree of skepticism given market conditions and supply chain challenges. Additionally, we explored potential value projections for projects such as Render and highlighted top picks from previous cycles like Helium and Audius.
Closing Thoughts
We stressed the importance of staying reactive to market changes and maintaining a long-term investment strategy. To wrap up, we also addressed the skepticism surrounding certain projects like Monad, questioning their high valuations and potential for being a “vc pump and dump.”
Thank you for being part of the Token Metrics community. We value your input and feedback and will continue to provide thoughtful, in-depth analysis to aid your investment decisions.
Best regards,
The Token Metrics Team
